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제목 | [기타] Voters demand climate remains high on political agenda | ||||
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분류 | 저먼워치 | ||||
Climate issues remain a key demand for Europeans, despite a shift to more right wing parties
It has been frequently noted in the aftermath of the European elections that climate policy issues were less on the election agenda than in 2019. That may be true. But it is also true that a broad electoral majority is in favour of appropriate political responses to the climate crisis: support for more effective measures is polling high in many EU countries and among supporters of almost all (relevant) German parties. This is shown in several EU-wide and national surveys, as well as our own Germanwatch survey, which we commissioned together with DNR and WWF.1 Parties should take this into account and not neglect climate protection during the next legislature of the European Parliament. Otherwise, they will lose votes. The majority of Europeans and Germans still want decisive political actions to speedily curb global warming. This is evidenced by the Eurobarometer released shortly before the European elections: across Europe, 'climate and the environment' ranks second on the priority list for the upcoming legislative period (chart p. 51 report). This picture corresponds with a series of studies conducted over recent months. Standard Eurobarometer 2024 Climate remains high on the priority list, not only for left leaning voters: Exit polls from this year’s election have shown that the topic was important also for conservative voters all across the EU. In the centrist parties which form the European Parliament groups European People’s Party (EPP) and Renew Europe (RE) – views are more or less unified on a conservative stance towards migration (especially within EPP), but a majority of voters also share a high or at least moderate level of concern about climate change: Focaldata survey 2024
Population wants effective climate policyDoes this also mean that people support more ambitious policies? For a majority of people, including conservative voters, the answer is yes: The study 'Debunking the Backlash – Uncovering European Voters’ Climate Preferences' (Hertie School/Jacques Delors Centre) analysing attitudes in Poland, France, and Germany shows that a majority in all three countries are in favour of more ambitious climate policy. Around 30% of respondents in Germany are against a more ambitious climate policy, with similar figures in Poland and 23% in France (p. 2fff). The idea of a common EU climate investment fund enjoys considerable support among respondents in all three countries, provided it follows the priorities they are in favour of. This applies in Germany to supporters of the Greens (72%), SPD (61%), and Left (57%), as well as the CDU/CSU (51%) and FDP (49%) (p. 11). Around 60% of respondents in Germany already feel that they are personally negatively affected by climate change or expect negative effects in the next five to ten years. What becomes clear as well: the widespread scepticism towards carbon pricing advocated by most parties diminishes significantly with targeted compensation; payments to low-income households in particular is popular. This is particularly relevant ahead of the 2027 launch of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme for buildings and transport, which will quickly lead to significantly higher prices for CO2 emissions in these applications. In our own in depth survey, we confirm these findings: A majority in favour of consistent climate protection includes the centre-right parties. Main results include:
For political parties, this data (in tandem with the physical and social reality) demonstrates that they must offer policies promoting a socially just route to climate neutrality in order to be electable. The new European Parliament and the next European Commission must promote these environmentally conscious concepts which endure despite the shift in election results. This blog post was also published on Emissions Trading Extra, on 19 June 2024. It is a shorter, slightly adapted English version of the German post on our website. 1 Poll conducted by Allensbach in February. 1.053 face-to-face-interviews were held with a representative share of society above 16 years of age.
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